Dec 3, 2009

Shocker

In this article, Philip accuses the Texas Workforce Commission, the Southeast Texas Regional Planning Commission and the elected officials of Jefferson County of a criminal conspiracy to defraud the public by falsifying public documents:
The Southeast Texas Political Review has learned from sources inside the Texas Workforce Commission that the unemployment rate in Port Arthur Texas is well near the 25% mark - which is an unheard of rate for any county or city in the State of Texas.

The source, who demands anonymity, stated to the Review that the public story of 18% is skewed upon taking full time workers that go into part time work. Meaning - someone that had a full time job that may be working a part time job at a fast food restaurant or retail store (s) have been counted as the "full time employed." The source who met with the Review yesterday shared figures of those that have been unemployed and then employed again - part time. Taking those numbers into consideration for Port Arthur Texas - the true rate would be 24.98%.

Shocked? Don't be. According to our sources - the numbers have been skewed for "a long time."

"There are some very powerful people that attempt to use the Southeast Texas Regional Planning Commission and their contacts in Austin to hush the numbers. There are some political officials that have been around for a very long time that want to blame everyone but themselves. I read your story last week on how government has grown so much in Jefferson County and as they have taxed the people and taken their money in business and at home, the unemployment rate has gone through the roof. All of us read your article and we showed our supervisor you article and '****" got on the phone and started making calls. They do not want the electorate to know the real story. If they did most of the elected officials in this county and maybe others would be thrown out of office," said our source that demanded anonymity.
Both Philip and his "source" are thoroughly confused about how unemployment rates are calculated.

Since 1994, unemployment rates have only included those people who draw regular unemployment or unemployment extension benefits. So, those "discouraged" citizens who have exhausted their benefits are not included, even though they are still unemployed. Furthermore, the official unemployment rate has always excluded those people who are employed part-time, but are seeking full-time employment. You can find a comprehensive explanation here.

This is common knowledge, except to those people who fell off the turnip truck yesterday. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics includes these figures in it's comprehensive group of unemployment rates, U1 through 6.
  • U1: Percentage of labor force unemployed 15 weeks or longer.
  • U2: Percentage of labor force who lost jobs or completed temporary work.
  • U3: Official unemployment rate per ILO definition.
  • U4: U3 + "discouraged workers", or those who have stopped looking for work because current economic conditions make them believe that no work is available for them.
  • U5: U4 + other "marginally attached workers", or "loosely attached workers", or those who "would like" and are able to work, but have not looked for work recently.
  • U6: U5 + Part time workers who want to work full time, but cannot due to economic reasons.
The official measure of unemployment is considered the U-3 rate, while rates U-4 through U-6 are provided for those who want more broadly defined measures of unemployment. The current rates are available here.

Unfortunately, Klein provides on statistical evidence to back up his claim that the U6 rate in Port Arthur is 24.98 percent. Is this a reckless disregard for the real truth, or simply ignorance?

In closing, Philip mistakes ridicule for hate:
Ask yourself why this web site is the biggest political web site in East Texas and is hated by the democrats and two sights are dedicated to us?
With Klein as the party poster child, Republicans in Jefferson County will always have problems .

1 comment :

Anonymous said...

Another of Phil's conspiracy theories. Guess he abandoned the one about the appraisal board lowering real estate taxes on his political enemies. Maybe he'll reveal who REALLY killed JFK -- and Abe Lincoln, for that matter.