Let's review (pun intended) Philip's predictions in the 2010 local primaries. Readers will notice that Philip has cherry-picked his races again. For example, he mentions one race in Hardin county but ignored the other five. Orange County apparently doesn't exist in Philip's world.
Criminal District Attorney: But [Tom Maness] will win the office back. And we think that it will be 60-40. But if there were a race where we might be wrong - it might be this one. There is an underground movement.
Hit.
County Clerk: Thus you get - a run off. We see Guidry and either Seals or Ferrell = a coin toss...Watch for dirty tricks. A run off.
Miss. So much for Philip's conspiracy theory - It's interesting to note that Rhonda Dugas got more votes than Philip has regular readers of the SET Political Review.
Treasure [sic]: Georgine Guillory will win this by a few votes. We see around 55-45 (in that area).
Hit.
Commissioner Pct 2: Domingue leaves - Weaver comes in. And we all get more of the same. A new face.
Hit, pending the results of any recount.
Commissioner Pct. 4: Jamie Smith has a following. And they are voting Again - a different face same tude.
Miss (by a country mile).
JP Pct. 2: Derouen wins it. But it is closer than maybe everyone thinks.
Hit, although Derouen's 65 percent margin isn't "closer than maybe everyone things."
JP Pct. 6: Duce wins this and Bobbie goes for City Council again. Another close race.
Hit, but an 84 percent margin falls into the landslide category, not "another close race."
JP Pct. 7: And we just cannot get a feel for this one. Cass has some friends in Southeast Texas. Burnett has some friends in Southeast Texas. So? You pick it - we cannot.
Miss. Burnett's 88 percent margin falls into the freight train category: everyone saw it coming except Philip.
JP Pct. 8: If we had to guess - we would say - Gillam.
Hit, although Gillam's 72 percent margin falls into the freight train category.
JP Pct. 1 - P2: Ken Dollinger had a great idea. Get rid of this office. But no - not to be. So there are three. Which may force a run off. Which will be Bradley and you pick.
Hit.
Hardin County Pct. 4: Franklin wins.
Hit, pending any recounts. With a victory margin of only 86 votes, this was an extremely close race. Philip missed the significance of this.
3 comments:
Klein claimed "conspiracy" in the Jeff Co Clerks race. Swore to everybody that he would print a list of the campaign contributors so we could all see who was behind the multiple candidates. Hey Phil- We're still waiting.
Gus, you are far too lenient in crediting Klein with "hits." He tried to cover his ass with timid predictions but the JP races in Precincts 2, 6 and 8 were of the same "freight train" proportions seen in 4 and 7.
"We were off on two races pretty bad. Smith surprised us. He really did."
Funny. I counted three races he missed entirely and at least two others he predicted close but turned into landslides. The close races he missed too. Great job on setting the record straight, Gus.
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